Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) — closed signal from November 8, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 6, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 44 days.
The thesis — published November 8, 2025
Coeur plans to buy New Gold, which would make it a bigger North American miner. The stock held up better than metal-focused funds on that news. If the US dollar or interest rates slip, silver and gold names often get a lift. Shares have fallen a lot, so a bounce is possible as the company explains how the two businesses will fit together and the market digests the deal.
Primary drivers
- Price fell hard, then trading volume jumped, showing strong interest
- Buying New Gold could make the company larger and financially stronger
- The stock beat well-known metal funds after the deal was announced
- A weaker dollar or lower rates often lift silver and gold miners
How it played out
CDE: target reached in 44 days
Lyra published CDE at $14.69 on 2025-11-08, with 28% expected growth and a target of $18.80. The thesis pointed to the planned New Gold purchase, a larger North American miner, stronger trading than metal-focused funds after the deal news, heavy volume after a hard fall, and possible support from a weaker dollar or lower rates.
Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 44 days. It later peaked at $27.74 on 2026-01-26, a gain of 88.8%. By 2026-02-06, it ended at $21.44, still above the target. The thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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