Track record · closed signal

Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT) — closed signal from November 6, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 4, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLNT price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$103.28 Published $126.00 Target $90.76 Window close $114.26 Peak
$101.50 – $104.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$103.28Published — price the day we called it
$126.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$114.26Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$90.76Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 48% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$114.26
peak on December 16, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+10.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$90.76
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 6, 2025 – February 4, 2026

The thesis — published November 6, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$126.00
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$101.50 – $104.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$103.28
published November 6, 2025
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Planet Fitness appears to be turning up ahead of its earnings update. The stock dropped, but the mood is improving and trading shows more buyers than usual. Its low-cost gym franchise keeps adding locations, which could help if guidance settles. With peers reporting this week, start small on weak days and add only if the price holds above 106. Watch equipment sales and new club openings; execution over the next quarter matters.

Primary drivers

  • Mood is improving after a pullback, which can spark short-term rebounds
  • Upcoming earnings report could quickly change expectations and draw attention
  • Budget-friendly gyms attract steady members even when people cut spending
  • Trading activity hints there are more buyers than sellers in recent sessions

How it played out

PLNT: the target was not reached

Lyra published PLNT on 2025-11-06 at 103.28 with an expected gain of 22%. The thesis pointed to improving mood after a pullback, an upcoming earnings update, steady demand for budget-friendly gyms, and trading activity that hinted at more buyers than sellers. It also pointed to new locations, equipment sales, and club openings as things to watch.

Inside the window, PLNT rose but stayed below 126. The high was 114.26 on 2025-12-16, a peak gain of 10.6%. It never got there. By 2026-02-04, the stock ended at 90.76. The thesis partially played out on the early rise, but missed the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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