Track record · closed signal

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) — closed signal from November 5, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

NEE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$78.93 – $80.90Entry zone — fair-value band

$80.80Published — price the day we called it

$89.09Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$89.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$88.82Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price

$89.19

peak on January 29, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+10.4%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$88.82

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

November 5, 2025 – February 3, 2026

The thesis — published November 5, 2025

Predicted growth

+11%

over the measurement window

Target price

$89.09

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$78.93 – $80.90

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$80.80

published November 5, 2025

Confidence

60%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

NextEra is a top utility that looks washed out after a pullback, so a rebound is possible. Argus raised its target to 90 after a strong Q3, which helps. Still, the short-term trend is weak, so start small and look for steadier action and higher lows. Utilities often improve when interest rates ease. We see a bounce back toward earlier ranges, not a big new climb.

Primary drivers

Price looks washed out, and investor mood reads as an extreme level
Research firm Argus lifted its price target to 90 after a solid Q3
Utility shares often do better when interest rates drift lower
Trend still points down; wait for proof the slide is starting to slow

How it played out

NEE: rebound thesis mostly played out

Lyra published NEE at 80.80 on 2025-11-05 with expected growth of 11% and a target of 89.09. The thesis pointed to a washed-out utility after a pullback, an Argus target lift to 90 after a solid Q3, possible help from lower interest rates, and a still-weak trend that needed proof of steadier action.

Inside the window, NEE rose to a peak of 89.19 on 2026-01-29, just above the 89.09 target. The data did not record a target-hit day. The peak gain was 10.4%, and the signal ended at 88.82 on 2026-02-03. The rebound thesis mostly played out, though it finished below the target.

What happened during the window

On December 8, 2025, Barron's reported that NextEra announced clean energy deals with Meta and Google for data centers. The report said Meta would receive about 2.5 gigawatts from solar and battery-storage projects, and that NextEra was also building at least three large data centers with Google.

NextEra Signs Big Google, Meta Deals. Why the Stock is Falling.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All NEE signals