Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class A) (GOOGL) — closed signal from November 5, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$279.77 Published $329.91 Target $339.71 Window close $349.00 Peak
$273.64 – $280.63Entry zone — fair-value band
$279.77Published — price the day we called it
$329.91Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$349.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$339.71Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 64 days.

Peak price
$349.00
peak on February 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+24.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$339.71
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
64
Window
November 5, 2025 – February 3, 2026

The thesis — published November 5, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$329.91
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$273.64 – $280.63
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$279.77
published November 5, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

- Explain the idea in plain terms - Show why buyers may be interested now - Highlight the near-term outlook Alphabet is a sturdy, well-known stock. Buying looks stronger than usual and the recent average price is trending up. News points to faster data center building and progress on the Wiz deal, which can help cloud security and AI sales. Analysts suggest buying on dips. With calmer price moves, it can keep growing over the next 3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Buying interest is strong and the recent average price keeps rising
  • Large build-out of data centers likely through 2030 supports growth
  • Wiz deal progress could lift cloud security demand and cloud revenue
  • Big, reliable company that can grow without sharp price swings

How it played out

GOOGL: target reached in 64 days

Lyra published GOOGL at 279.77 with an expected 18% gain and a target of 329.91. The thesis pointed to strong buying interest, a rising recent average price, large data center build-out, progress on the Wiz deal, and Alphabet's size as a reason price moves could stay calmer.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 64 days. It peaked at 349 on 2026-02-03, above the 329.91 target. It ended the window at 339.71. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On November 18, 2025, Google launched Antigravity, a coding tool built around Gemini 3 Pro. That was an announcement during the measurement window, not a stated cause of the stock move.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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