Track record · closed signal

Teradata Corporation (TDC) — closed signal from November 5, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 3, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TDC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$25.00 Published $32.50 Target $28.02 Window close $32.03 Peak
$24.20 – $25.20Entry zone — fair-value band
$25.00Published — price the day we called it
$32.50Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$32.03Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$28.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$32.03
peak on December 10, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+28.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$28.02
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 5, 2025 – February 3, 2026

The thesis — published November 5, 2025

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$32.50
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$24.20 – $25.20
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$25.00
published November 5, 2025
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Earnings were better than expected and the company now plans to earn $2.38-$2.42 this year, setting a clear near-term path. The stock jumped about 14% on the news, then cooled, creating a possible buy-the-dip area. The price looked washed out and ready to rebound, and the recent average price is turning up. If AI and cloud deals keep building and lots more people are buying than usual, the move can continue.

Primary drivers

  • Quarter beat; now guides full-year EPS to $2.38-$2.42, boosting confidence
  • Stock looked beaten down, while the recent average price is turning up
  • After results, trading jumped, showing far more buyers than usual
  • Growing AI and cloud demand is lifting bookings and near-term momentum

How it played out

TDC: target stayed out of reach

Lyra published TDC on 2025-11-05 at $25 for a short-term window ending 2026-02-03. The thesis expected 30% growth. It pointed to better-than-expected earnings, full-year EPS guidance of $2.38-$2.42, a stock that had jumped about 14% and then cooled, a beaten-down setup, stronger trading, and demand tied to artificial intelligence and cloud deals.

Inside the window, TDC rose to a peak of $32.03 on 2025-12-10, a 28.1% gain. The $32.50 target was not reached. It never got there. By 2026-02-03, the stock ended at $28.02. The thesis mostly played out, but it missed the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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