Track record · closed signal

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT) — closed signal from November 4, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GT price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$7.22 Published $9.38 Target $9.41 Window close $9.68 Peak
$7.00 – $7.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$7.22Published — price the day we called it
$9.38Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$9.68Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$9.41Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 78 days.

Peak price
$9.68
peak on January 22, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+34.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$9.41
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
78
Window
November 4, 2025 – February 2, 2026

The thesis — published November 4, 2025

Predicted growth
+30%
over the measurement window
Target price
$9.38
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$7.00 – $7.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$7.22
published November 4, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Goodyear's stock has been rising quickly, but risk is high. Confidence is hot and lots more people are buying than usual. The company merged its airplane tire unit, which helps the story, yet the core finances are still soft and results depend on careful execution. If buying stays strong, the price could jump over the next 0-3 months. Because tires rise and fall with the economy and costs and earnings are unsure, use tight risk limits.

Primary drivers

  • Recent price strength is strong and trader enthusiasm is unusually high
  • Buying activity is heavy, with far more shares trading than is typical
  • Goodyear combined its airplane tire unit, which could improve execution
  • Turnaround hopes plus a market upswing could lift a higher-risk stock

How it played out

GT: target reached in 78 days

Lyra published GT at $7.22 on 2025-11-04 with expected growth of 30% over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to recent price strength, unusually high trader enthusiasm, heavy buying activity, the airplane tire unit combination, and turnaround hopes tied to a market upswing. It also noted high risk and soft core finances.

Inside the window, GT reached the $9.38 target in 78 days. The peak was $9.68 on 2026-01-22, a 34.1% gain. By 2026-02-02, it ended at $9.41. The thesis played out. The target was reached, and the final price stayed above it.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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