Track record · closed signal

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) — closed signal from November 4, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

ZWS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$45.78 – $46.77Entry zone — fair-value band

$46.49Published — price the day we called it

$53.34Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$49.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$46.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 36% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$49.00

peak on November 12, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+5.4%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$46.11

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

November 4, 2025 – February 2, 2026

The thesis — published November 4, 2025

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$53.34

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$45.78 – $46.77

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$46.49

published November 4, 2025

Confidence

68%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Zurn Elkay looks set for a steady climb because business results are improving and recent updates were strong. Core sales rose 11% in Q3, profit margins were 26.8%, and management raised full-year goals. They also lifted the dividend and expanded the buyback, showing confidence. Project demand seems steady, so over the next few months the stock could drift higher, while still tied to nonresidential construction trends.

Primary drivers

Core sales up 11% in Q3 and 26.8% margins signal solid business health
Higher full-year outlook plus a bigger dividend and buyback show confidence
More buyers than usual lately, hinting at improving price momentum
Industry recognition supports the view the company is growing and leading

How it played out

ZWS: target was not reached

Lyra published ZWS at $46.49 on 2025-11-04 with a short-term thesis for 15% growth. The thesis pointed to core sales up 11% in Q3, profit margins of 26.8%, higher full-year goals, a lifted dividend, an expanded buyback, recent buyer interest, and steady project demand tied to nonresidential construction trends.

Inside the window, the stock rose to a peak of $49 on 2025-11-12, a 5.4% gain. It stayed below the $53.34 target and never reached it. By 2026-02-02, ZWS ended at $46.11. The thesis only partially played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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