Track record · closed signal

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B (BRK-B) — closed signal from November 4, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 2, 2026 — +1.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BRK-B price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$475.00 – $482.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$480.40Published — price the day we called it

$528.43Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$516.85Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$487.29Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 76% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

+1.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+7.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+3.3%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$487.29

last close inside the window, ended February 2, 2026

Peak price

$516.85

peak on November 28, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published November 4, 2025

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$528.43

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$475.00 – $482.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$480.40

published November 4, 2025

Confidence

74%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Berkshire looks set for a short-term recovery after a recent slide. It holds a record $382B in cash, giving it plenty of choices, like buying back stock or buying other companies. Clearer leadership plans add comfort. In a mildly rising market, strong, steady businesses often drift back toward typical levels. With many different earnings sources and lots of cash, the risk of a big drop is lower.

Primary drivers

A huge $382B cash pile lets Berkshire buy back shares or make acquisitions.
After a sharp dip, a strong long-term business may rebound.
Recent quarterly results were solid, confirming the business is sturdy.
Stock tends to move less than the market, offering a calmer trade.

How it played out

BRK-B: target was not reached

Lyra published BRK-B at $480.40 on 2025-11-04. The thesis expected 10% growth over a short-term window. It pointed to Berkshire's $382B cash pile, room for buybacks or acquisitions, a possible rebound after a sharp dip, solid quarterly results, and a calmer stock profile.

Inside the window, BRK-B rose to $516.85 on 2025-11-28. That was a 7.6% peak gain, but it stayed below the $528.43 target. It never got there. By 2026-02-02, it ended at $487.29. The thesis partially played out: the stock did rise, but not enough to reach the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All BRK-B signals