Track record · closed signal

The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) — closed signal from November 4, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 2, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SCHW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$92.86 Published $112.96 Target $105.17 Window close $105.80 Peak
$90.68 – $92.97Entry zone — fair-value band
$92.86Published — price the day we called it
$112.96Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$105.80Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$105.17Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 63% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$105.80
peak on January 22, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+13.9%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$105.17
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 4, 2025 – February 2, 2026

The thesis — published November 4, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$112.96
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$90.68 – $92.97
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$92.86
published November 4, 2025
Confidence
83%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Schwab looks ready for a short-term bounce because recent price pressure seems overdone and the business trend is improving. A major research firm lifted its target to 134 after strong Q3 sales and a better profit view for 2026-27, which boosts confidence. As interest rate pressure fades and customer activity returns to normal, a 3-month rebound is likely. Schwab's large size and steadier stock swings help limit downside.

Primary drivers

  • Major analyst raised goal price after strong Q3 sales, lifting mood
  • Recent drop looks overdone, improving odds of a short-term bounce
  • Easing rate pressures could lift interest income and bring more assets
  • Improving investor mood plus solid business basics and large scale

How it played out

SCHW: rebound came through, but target was not reached

Lyra published SCHW at 92.86 on 2025-11-04, looking for 22% growth to 112.96. The thesis pointed to an overdone recent drop, improving business trends, a major research firm lifting its goal price to 134 after strong Q3 sales, easing rate pressure, and steadier stock swings from Schwab's scale.

Inside the window, SCHW rose but never reached 112.96. It peaked at 105.8 on 2026-01-22, a 13.9% gain, then ended at 105.17 on 2026-02-02. The bounce thesis partially played out. The full target did not.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-21, Schwab reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.39 per share and revenue of $6.336 billion. It also said daily average trading volume rose 31% and client accounts totaled 46.5 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All SCHW signals