Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from July 13, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 11, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$35.64 – $37.62Entry zone — fair-value band

$38.07Published — price the day we called it

$46.21Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$39.86Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$36.27Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 21% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$39.86

peak on October 2, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+4.7%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$36.27

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

July 13, 2025 – October 11, 2025

The thesis — published July 13, 2025

Predicted growth

+22%

over the measurement window

Target price

$46.21

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$35.64 – $37.62

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$38.07

published July 13, 2025

Confidence

77%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Natural gas prices have jumped 25% since March while fewer drilling rigs mean less supply. Because Range has not locked in most of next years output, it wins if prices keep rising. The share price sits near its long-term average, a spot that has led to three past 20% rebounds. Debt is low, freeing up cash that management may use to repurchase shares on July 22. New permits to ship gas overseas could push the stock toward $47-48 this quarter.

Primary drivers

Gas prices are climbing while fewer rigs drill, likely boosting earnings before winter.
Low debt lets the company return cash to investors through large share buybacks soon.
The stock is near a price area that has sparked several strong rebounds in the past.
Possible approval to export gas could raise local selling prices and lift profits.

How it played out

RRC: thesis missed the target

Lyra published RRC at 38.07 on 2025-07-13 with 22% expected growth. The thesis pointed to natural gas prices up 25% since March, fewer drilling rigs, low debt, possible share repurchases on July 22, and possible export approvals that could push the stock toward 47-48 this quarter.

Inside the window from 2025-07-13 to 2025-10-11, RRC peaked at 39.86 on 2025-10-02, a 4.7% gain. It stayed below the 46.21 target and ended at 36.27. The thesis did not play out in the measured window.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All RRC signals