Track record · closed signal

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) — closed signal from November 3, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 1, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GILD price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$119.50 Published $135.34 Target $141.95 Window close $142.20 Peak
$116.46 – $119.42Entry zone — fair-value band
$119.50Published — price the day we called it
$135.34Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$142.20Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$141.95Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 81 days.

Peak price
$142.20
peak on January 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+19%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$141.95
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
81
Window
November 3, 2025 – February 1, 2026

The thesis — published November 3, 2025

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$135.34
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$116.46 – $119.42
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$119.50
published November 3, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

After earnings, the stock fell even though the business just got a lot stronger. Profit margin jumped to 27.9% from 0.4%, and both data-driven ratings and investor mood look favorable. With the price having dropped hard and the recent average price turning up, shares could rebound toward earlier levels. Use small, staged buys, watch for heavier-than-usual buying, and stay mindful of pipeline and rival risks.

Primary drivers

  • Profit margin jumped to 27.9% from 0.4%, showing a big turnaround
  • Investor mood and independent scorecards both look positive
  • Price fell too far recently and the recent average price is turning up
  • Strong HIV and cancer drug lineup helps steady sales and future growth

How it played out

GILD: target reached in 81 days

Lyra published GILD at $119.50 on 2025-11-03 with 14% expected growth toward $135.34. The thesis pointed to margin improving to 27.9% from 0.4%, positive investor mood and independent scorecards, a recent price drop, a turning average price, and a HIV and cancer drug lineup that could steady sales and growth.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 81 days. It peaked at $142.20 on 2026-01-30, with a 19% gain, and ended at $141.95 on 2026-02-01. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.