Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from November 3, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on February 1, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 70% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published November 3, 2025
RRC beat expectations and sold gas at better-than-benchmark prices thanks to its sales mix. It is also buying back shares, which can lift each remaining share's value. Winter often helps gas demand, and the price trend looks healthier with more buyer interest and steadier momentum. Main risk: gas prices can swing a lot, so use a clear plan to cut losses if the move goes the wrong way.
Primary drivers
- Beat last quarter and sold gas at better-than-benchmark prices.
- Ongoing share buybacks can boost returns for remaining shareholders.
- Colder months usually lift gas demand, a short-term help for sales.
- Price trend improving, with more buyers stepping in than before.
How it played out
RRC: thesis only partly played out
Lyra published RRC at 35.76 on 2025-11-03 with a short-term setup calling for 20% growth. The thesis pointed to a recent beat, better-than-benchmark gas pricing from its sales mix, ongoing share buybacks, colder-month gas demand, and an improving price trend with more buyer interest. The stated target was 42.80.
Inside the window, RRC rose but did not reach the target. The stock peaked at 40.78 on 2025-12-05, a 14% gain, then ended the window at 37.85 on 2026-02-01. The call partly played out because price moved higher, but it stayed below the target.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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