Track record · closed signal

Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) — closed signal from November 2, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 31, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VZ price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$39.74 Published $44.51 Target $44.52 Window close $44.63 Peak
$38.80 – $39.70Entry zone — fair-value band
$39.74Published — price the day we called it
$44.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$44.63Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$44.52Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 89 days.

Peak price
$44.63
peak on January 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$44.52
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
89
Window
November 2, 2025 – January 31, 2026

The thesis — published November 2, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$44.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$38.80 – $39.70
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$39.74
published November 2, 2025
Confidence
62%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Verizon looks like it is starting to turn upward. Recent news showed profits up 102.5% and cleaner profit margins, and the price action suggests buyers are getting more active. The company still has a lot of debt, but its dividend and steady cash can attract more interest, especially if interest rates ease. If spending and pricing stay disciplined, the next 0-3 months could reasonably bring higher prices.

Primary drivers

  • Price trend is improving, and lots more people are buying than usual
  • Recent news: profits jumped 102.5% and profit margins improved
  • Dividend and steady cash flow can draw more patient, long-term buyers
  • Ongoing price strength would confirm the uptrend over the next few months

How it played out

VZ: target reached in 89 days

Lyra published VZ on 2025-11-02 at $39.74 with expected growth of 12%. The thesis pointed to an improving price trend, unusually active buying, profits up 102.5%, better margins, dividend support, steady cash flow, and the chance that disciplined spending and pricing could help prices rise within the short-term window.

Inside the window, VZ reached the $44.51 target. The peak was $44.63 on 2026-01-30, with a peak gain of 12.3%, and the target was reached in 89 days. The signal ended at $44.52 on 2026-01-31. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-15, The Wall Street Journal reported that California gave final approval for Verizon's Frontier deal. On 2026-01-30, Barron's reported Verizon's fourth-quarter results, including adjusted earnings of $1.09 a share and revenue of $36.4 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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