Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from November 2, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 31, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$35.46 Published $43.16 Target $37.85 Window close $40.78 Peak
$34.63 – $35.42Entry zone — fair-value band
$35.46Published — price the day we called it
$43.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$40.78Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$37.85Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 68% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$40.78
peak on December 5, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$37.85
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 2, 2025 – January 31, 2026

The thesis — published November 2, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$43.16
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$34.63 – $35.42
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$35.46
published November 2, 2025
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources looks steady and well-liked by investors. Last quarter they did better than expected, pumping 2.2 Bcfe per day with earnings of $0.57 per share, and management sounded positive about the months ahead. Recent headlines echoed that strength. Some price signals are still catching up, but winter usually helps natural gas, and firmer prices could lift the stock toward past highs over the next 0-3 months as investors favor cash-strong producers.

Primary drivers

  • Quarter beat forecasts; upbeat outlook supports steady cash creation.
  • Positive sentiment as winter usually lifts natural gas demand and prices.
  • Recent headlines echoed the beat and kept momentum and interest high.
  • Strong free cash flow enables buybacks and disciplined, careful spending.

How it played out

RRC: target was missed after a partial rise

Lyra published RRC on 2025-11-02 at $35.46 as a short-term signal with expected growth of 22%. The thesis pointed to a quarter that beat forecasts, production of 2.2 Bcfe per day, earnings of $0.57 per share, an upbeat outlook, winter support for natural gas, positive headlines, free cash flow, buybacks, and disciplined spending.

Inside the window from 2025-11-02 to 2026-01-31, RRC rose but did not reach $43.16. It peaked at $40.78 on 2025-12-05, a 15% gain. It ended at $37.85. The thesis partially played out on direction, but the target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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