Track record · closed signal

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) — closed signal from November 2, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 31, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

JNJ price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$187.68 Published $205.14 Target $227.25 Window close $230.00 Peak
$183.66 – $186.62Entry zone — fair-value band
$187.68Published — price the day we called it
$205.14Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$230.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$227.25Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 23 days.

Peak price
$230.00
peak on January 29, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+22.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$227.25
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
23
Window
November 2, 2025 – January 31, 2026

The thesis — published November 2, 2025

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$205.14
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$183.66 – $186.62
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$187.68
published November 2, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

JNJ looks set for a short-term bounce because it has been pushed down recently while overall mood on the stock is steady. Strong updates from peers Eli Lilly and AbbVie lifted interest across healthcare. JNJ's reliable cash and dividend help limit downside. If interest rates calm, big, steady companies can get a fresh look. If the price climbs back over a nearby ceiling, it could trend back toward normal in 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks pushed down, yet investor mood toward JNJ stays steady.
  • Peer wins from Eli Lilly and AbbVie boost attention on healthcare.
  • Strong cash generation and a steady dividend cushion downturns.
  • More investors may rotate into big healthcare names for stability.

How it played out

JNJ: target reached in 23 days

Lyra published JNJ at 187.68 on 2025-11-02 with 10% expected growth and a 205.14 target. The thesis pointed to a pushed-down price with steady investor mood, healthcare attention after peer wins from Eli Lilly and AbbVie, strong cash generation, a steady dividend, and possible rotation into big healthcare names for stability.

Inside the window through 2026-01-31, JNJ reached the target in 23 days. It peaked at 230 on 2026-01-29, with a 22.6% peak gain. It ended at 227.25. The published thesis played out, and the move went beyond the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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