Track record · closed signal

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) — closed signal from November 2, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 31, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SVM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$6.48 Published $8.67 Target $10.07 Window close $14.00 Peak
$6.18 – $6.48Entry zone — fair-value band
$6.48Published — price the day we called it
$8.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$10.07Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 39 days.

Peak price
$14.00
peak on January 26, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+116.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$10.07
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
39
Window
November 2, 2025 – January 31, 2026

The thesis — published November 2, 2025

Predicted growth
+34%
over the measurement window
Target price
$8.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$6.18 – $6.48
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$6.48
published November 2, 2025
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

This stock tends to move more than silver prices. The price looks washed out while optimism is high, and recent news says near-term silver supply is tight. A trusted research service lifted its score to 87%, which helps confidence. While momentum is still catching up, a push above recent hurdles could spark a rebound over the next 0-3 months as trading in metals steadies.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks beaten down, yet investor mood is strong, hinting at a turn
  • News points to tight near-term silver supply, which can lift prices
  • Independent rating was raised, adding trust to the short-term idea
  • If silver stays scarce, miners may be valued higher by the market

How it played out

SVM: target reached in 39 days

Lyra published SVM on 2025-11-02 at $6.48 with an expected gain of 34% and a target of $8.67. The thesis pointed to a beaten-down price, strong investor mood, tight near-term silver supply, and an independent rating raised to 87%. It expected a rebound over the short-term window if metals trading steadied.

Inside the window, SVM reached the target in 39 days. The peak was $14 on 2026-01-26, with a 116.1% gain. It ended the window at $10.07, still above the target. The published thesis played out, and the move went beyond what it called for.

What happened during the window

On November 6, 2025, Silvercorp reported Q2 Fiscal 2026 adjusted net income of $22.6 million and cash flow from operating activities of $39.2 million. On January 20, 2026, the company announced agreements to acquire a 70% interest in the Tulkubash/Kyzyltash gold projects in Kyrgyzstan for US$162 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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