Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from November 1, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$35.46 Published $43.16 Target $37.85 Window close $40.78 Peak
$33.83 – $35.22Entry zone — fair-value band
$35.46Published — price the day we called it
$43.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$40.78Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$37.85Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 68% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$40.78
peak on December 5, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$37.85
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 1, 2025 – January 30, 2026

The thesis — published November 1, 2025

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$43.16
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$33.83 – $35.22
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$35.46
published November 1, 2025
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources beat expectations on profit and sales in Q3 and kept output strong at about 2.2 Bcfe per day. The share price has not kept up with the good news, so the plan is to buy on dips over the next 1-3 months as the strong results get more attention. Recent news reinforced the beat and steady operations. Trading has looked calm rather than overheated, which can set up a healthier, more sustainable move higher.

Primary drivers

  • Q3 results beat forecasts, with solid daily output and efficiency
  • Investor optimism is high; buying dips may work in the near term
  • Trend looks soft for now; watch for signs of strength returning
  • Tied to gas prices, with investor payouts providing extra support

How it played out

RRC: target not reached, partial thesis result

Lyra published RRC at $35.46 on 2025-11-01 with an expected 22% gain and a $43.16 target. The thesis pointed to Q3 profit and sales beating forecasts, output near 2.2 Bcfe per day, calm trading, possible dip buying, gas-price exposure, and investor payouts as support.

Inside the window, RRC rose but did not reach the target. The peak was $40.78 on 2025-12-05, a 15% gain. It never got there. By 2026-01-30, the stock ended at $37.85. The thesis partly played out, but the published target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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