Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from November 1, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$200.47 Published $270.63 Target $146.59 Window close $207.52 Peak
$192.00 – $198.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$200.47Published — price the day we called it
$270.63Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$207.52Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$146.59Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 10% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$207.52
peak on November 3, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+3.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$146.59
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
November 1, 2025 – January 30, 2026

The thesis — published November 1, 2025

Predicted growth
+35%
over the measurement window
Target price
$270.63
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$192.00 – $198.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$200.47
published November 1, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir is still one of the stronger stocks ahead of its upcoming earnings. Recent price trends and steady buying interest, helped by excitement around AI, point to continued strength. Reports this week note higher risk-taking by AI-focused funds and solid AWS demand, which supports the story. The price looks hot in the short term, so aim to buy small pullbacks and plan for sharp swings over the next 1-3 months, with easy trading in and out.

Primary drivers

  • Recent price trend is up, and buyers look in control after steady demand
  • Strong AI demand and solid AWS growth back the business story this year
  • Short-term price looks hot, so prefer buying on small pullbacks
  • Earnings are near, which can bring fast moves up or down in the stock

How it played out

PLTR: target was not reached

Lyra published PLTR on 2025-11-01 at 200.47 for a short-term window ending 2026-01-30. The thesis expected 35% growth and a move toward 270.63. It pointed to an uptrend, steady buying interest, strong artificial intelligence demand, solid AWS growth, near earnings, and the risk of sharp swings over 1-3 months.

Inside the window, PLTR peaked at 207.52 on 2025-11-03, with a 3.5% gain. That stayed below the 270.63 target. It never got there. By 2026-01-30, the stock ended at 146.59. The thesis only partially played out early, then missed the target.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-03, Palantir reported third-quarter results with revenue of $1.18 billion and raised its full-year revenue outlook. On 2025-12-10, Axios reported that L3Harris and Palantir described production gains from their night-vision partnership.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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