Track record · closed signal

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) — closed signal from November 1, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 30, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SVM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$6.48 Published $8.54 Target $10.07 Window close $14.00 Peak
$6.28 – $6.53Entry zone — fair-value band
$6.48Published — price the day we called it
$8.54Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$14.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$10.07Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 40 days.

Peak price
$14.00
peak on January 26, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+116.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$10.07
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
40
Window
November 1, 2025 – January 30, 2026

The thesis — published November 1, 2025

Predicted growth
+32%
over the measurement window
Target price
$8.54
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$6.28 – $6.53
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$6.48
published November 1, 2025
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

SVM is a silver miner that looks beaten down, while investor mood is unusually positive. Recent signs of tight physical silver supply help near term. Management bought more of New Pacific and refreshed strategy, which boosts confidence. We expect a rebound as interest returns; the main risk is weaker silver prices. Strong trading interest and a steadier balance sheet lower downside versus rivals.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks beaten down, yet investor mood is strong and improving
  • Signs of tight silver supply point to near-term price strength in markets
  • Financial health appears steadier and more predictable than many miner peers
  • Management increased its investment in New Pacific, boosting confidence

How it played out

SVM: target reached in 40 days

Lyra published SVM at 6.48 on 2025-11-01 with a short-term thesis for 32% growth. The thesis pointed to a beaten-down price, stronger investor mood, tight physical silver supply, steadier financial health than many miner peers, and management's increased investment in New Pacific.

Inside the window from 2025-11-01 to 2026-01-30, the stock reached the 8.54 target in 40 days. It later rose to a 14 peak on 2026-01-26, with a 116.1% peak gain. It ended at 10.07. The published thesis played out and went beyond its target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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