Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from October 30, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 28, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$32.84 – $35.32Entry zone — fair-value band

$34.97Published — price the day we called it

$42.56Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$40.78Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$36.74Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 75% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$40.78

peak on December 5, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+16.6%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$36.74

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

October 30, 2025 – January 28, 2026

The thesis — published October 30, 2025

Predicted growth

+22%

over the measurement window

Target price

$42.56

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$32.84 – $35.32

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$34.97

published October 30, 2025

Confidence

68%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources just reported better profits and sales, and is giving cash back through buybacks and dividends. Winter usually lifts gas use, and global LNG demand can help if gas prices stop falling. The recent trend is still weak, so easing in with small purchases makes sense. A recovery in 1-3 months is possible if prices steady. Main risks: big gas price swings, local price gaps, and slower demand.

Primary drivers

Strong quarterly results plus cash returned via buybacks and dividends.
Price fell quickly; a rebound could follow as selling pressure eases.
Colder months typically lift gas use, helping revenue and cash flow.
Trend remains soft; patience while more buyers return to the stock.

How it played out

RRC: thesis partly played out, target was not reached

Lyra published RRC at $34.97 on 2025-10-30 with expected growth of 22%. The thesis pointed to better profits and sales, cash returned through buybacks and dividends, winter gas use, and possible support from global LNG demand if gas prices stopped falling. It also noted that the recent trend was still weak.

Inside the window, RRC rose to $40.78 on 2025-12-05, a peak gain of 16.6%. That was below the $42.56 target, so the target was never reached. The stock ended the window at $36.74 on 2026-01-28. Verdict: the thesis partly played out, but it missed the full target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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