Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (TIGR) — closed signal from October 29, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$10.76 Published $13.45 Target $8.81 Window close $11.35 Peak
$10.50 – $10.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$10.76Published — price the day we called it
$13.45Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$11.35Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$8.81Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 22% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$11.35
peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+5.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$8.81
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
October 29, 2025 – January 27, 2026

The thesis — published October 29, 2025

Predicted growth
+25%
over the measurement window
Target price
$13.45
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$10.50 – $10.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$10.76
published October 29, 2025
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

UP Fintech looks inexpensive versus similar China stocks and ranks highly on a data-based score. Its recent average price is trending up, showing steady interest, but the price ran up fast, so patience helps. In the next 1-3 months, results depend on calmer markets and rivalry with FUTU. Consider buying small on mild dips, while staying alert to legal and country risks. Share gains could continue if conditions cooperate.

Primary drivers

  • High data-driven score among China stocks listed in the U.S. market
  • Looks cheaper than rivals based on common valuation yardsticks
  • Recent average price is trending higher, pointing to ongoing buyer interest
  • Rules, money flows, and stability in China could quickly change the outlook

How it played out

TIGR: target was not reached

Lyra published TIGR at $10.76 on 2025-10-29 for a short-term window ending 2026-01-27. The thesis expected 25% growth and pointed to a high data-driven score among China stocks listed in the U.S. market, cheaper valuation than rivals, a rising recent average price, and sensitivity to rules, money flows, and stability in China.

Inside the window, TIGR peaked at $11.35 on 2026-01-06, a 5.5% gain. That stayed below the $13.45 target, so the target was never reached. The stock ended at $8.81. The thesis only partially played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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