Track record · closed signal

Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) — closed signal from October 29, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 27, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

VZ price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$40.04 Published $44.84 Target $39.32 Window close $42.06 Peak
$39.50 – $40.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$40.04Published — price the day we called it
$44.84Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.06Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$39.32Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 43% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$42.06
peak on December 5, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+5.1%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$39.32
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
October 29, 2025 – January 27, 2026

The thesis — published October 29, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$44.84
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$39.50 – $40.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$40.04
published October 29, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Verizon is still bringing in strong free cash flow ($15.76B), which makes its dividend look secure even though sales missed and it lost 7,000 monthly phone customers. Recent price action looks healthier, suggesting more buyers than sellers. Over the next 0-3 months, cost cuts under the new CEO and steady cash could draw income-focused investors. Buying near $40 can help limit downside while the business steadies.

Primary drivers

  • Strong cash generation helps keep the dividend well covered over time
  • Recent price behavior looks healthier, with more steady buying interest
  • New CEO is cutting costs, aiming to boost profits and speed up decisions
  • Sales and customer counts are under pressure, which may slow near-term growth

How it played out

VZ: the target was not reached

Lyra published VZ at $40.03 on 2025-10-29 with expected growth of 12%. The thesis pointed to $15.76B in free cash flow, dividend coverage, healthier recent price action, cost cuts under the new CEO, and steady cash. It also noted pressure from missed sales and 7,000 lost monthly phone customers.

Inside the window, VZ rose to a peak of $42.06 on 2025-12-05, a 5.1% gain. It stayed below the $44.84 target and never reached it. By 2026-01-27, it ended at $39.32. The thesis partially played out on the early move, but it missed the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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