Track record · closed signal

Intel Corporation (INTC) — closed signal from October 28, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 26, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

INTC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$39.20 – $40.30Entry zone — fair-value band

$40.08Published — price the day we called it

$48.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$54.60Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$42.49Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 77 days.

Peak price

$54.60

peak on January 22, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+36.2%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$42.49

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

Window

October 28, 2025 – January 26, 2026

The thesis — published October 28, 2025

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$48.10

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$39.20 – $40.30

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$40.08

published October 28, 2025

Confidence

60%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Intel's recent gains seem driven more by investor mood and price strength than by current business results. It has been a better performer in an overall friendly market, and on good days lots more people are buying than usual. But some signals are still cautious, so buying small on dips is safer. Fast industry shifts keep interest high, while execution and manufacturing leadership remain open questions.

Primary drivers

Strong mood and rising recent average price despite softer fundamentals
One of the market's better performers, drawing in short-term buyers
Rivals' new launches keep focus on chips and data center demand
Cautious signals remain, so use small sizes and plan exits carefully

How it played out

INTC: target reached in 77 days

On 2025-10-28, Lyra published a short-term INTC thesis at 40.08, with an entry zone of 39.20 to 40.30. The expected growth was 20%, toward 48.10. The thesis pointed to strong investor mood, rising recent average price, better relative performance, short-term buying interest, chip and data center demand, and still-cautious signals around execution and manufacturing leadership.

Inside the window, INTC reached the target in 77 days. It peaked at 54.60 on 2026-01-22, a 36.2% gain, then ended at 42.49 on 2026-01-26. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-30, Intel opened retail experience stores in New York City, London, Munich, Paris, and Seoul to show PCs with artificial intelligence features. On 2026-01-22, Intel reported Q4 2025 revenue of $13.7 billion and a $600 million net loss, according to Tom's Hardware coverage of the earnings release.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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