HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) — closed signal from October 28, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 26, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 5% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published October 28, 2025
HIVE looks like a rebound candidate, with signs the slide may be ending and momentum turning up. Company updates help: it now runs over 22 EH/s of mining power, and a major broker lifted its target to $8. The overall market is fairly positive, so a short-term continuation move is plausible. Key risks are its tight link to bitcoin prices, energy costs, and changing rules, so keep position size modest.
Primary drivers
- Price looks washed out, and the recent trend is starting to improve
- Reaching 22 EH/s boosts mining capacity and could lift future revenue
- Broker B. Riley raised its price target to $8, adding confidence
- A generally friendly market makes a short-term move more likely
How it played out
HIVE: target was not reached
Lyra published HIVE on 2025-10-28 at $5.82 as a short-term rebound call with 45% expected growth. The thesis pointed to a washed-out price, an improving recent trend, over 22 EH/s of mining power, B. Riley lifting its target to $8, and a generally friendly market. It also named bitcoin prices, energy costs, and changing rules as risks.
Inside the window from 2025-10-28 to 2026-01-26, HIVE peaked at $5.95 on 2025-10-28, a 2.2% gain. It stayed below the $8.44 target and ended at $3.22. The thesis did not play out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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