Track record · closed signal

GE Aerospace (GE) — closed signal from October 27, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 25, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$299.31 – $308.29Entry zone — fair-value band

$309.00Published — price the day we called it

$367.29Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$332.79Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$293.87Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 41% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$332.79

peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+7.7%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$293.87

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

October 27, 2025 – January 25, 2026

The thesis — published October 27, 2025

Predicted growth

+19%

over the measurement window

Target price

$367.29

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$299.31 – $308.29

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$309.00

published October 27, 2025

Confidence

82%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

GE Aerospace is running its business well. It posted very strong results last quarter and raised its full-year forecast. Industry parts shortages mean customers have fewer choices, letting GE keep prices firm and win share. If the price dips, it may be a good chance to buy. Main risks are easing parts issues or timing of defense orders, but the next 3 months look favorable.

Primary drivers

Raised full-year forecast after a strong quarter, showing confidence
Industry parts shortages let GE hold firm on prices and protect margins
Air travel and defense demand remain steady, supporting multi-year growth
Share strength remains in place even after occasional price pullbacks

How it played out

GE: target was not reached

Lyra published GE Aerospace at $309 on October 27, 2025. The thesis expected 19% growth over the short-term window. It pointed to a strong quarter, a raised full-year forecast, firm pricing during parts shortages, steady air travel and defense demand, and share strength after pullbacks.

Inside the window, GE rose, but not enough. The peak was $332.79 on January 6, 2026, for a 7.7% gain. It stayed below the $367.29 target. The window ended at $293.87. The thesis partially played out on direction at the peak, but it missed the target and finished below the publication price.

What happened during the window

On November 17, 2025, AP reported that Emirates announced an order for 65 Boeing 777-9 aircraft valued at $38 billion with Boeing and GE Engines. On the same date, MarketWatch reported that GE Aerospace announced a related agreement for 130 GE9X engines.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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