Track record · closed signal

Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) — closed signal from October 27, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 25, 2026 — +3.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

PRIM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$139.82 – $144.81Entry zone — fair-value band

$144.89Published — price the day we called it

$176.65Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$155.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$150.56Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 32% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

+3.9%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+7.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+0.9%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$150.56

last close inside the window, ended January 25, 2026

Peak price

$155.19

peak on January 16, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published October 27, 2025

Predicted growth

+22%

over the measurement window

Target price

$176.65

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$139.82 – $144.81

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$144.89

published October 27, 2025

Confidence

83%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Primoris builds for utilities, energy, and renewables, and it stands to gain from the rush to add data centers. A known $1.7B pipeline makes future work easier to see, while a recent Buy rating adds confidence. Watch Q3 results and the Nov 4 call for updates. Many investors are positive now. A solid backlog and expected profit growth into 2025 support a slow rise over the next 3 months if execution stays on track.

Primary drivers

A visible $1.7B lineup of data center projects signals steady upcoming work
A fresh Buy rating from Needham adds attention and investor confidence
Many buyers lately and an upbeat mood are helping recent price strength
Strong backlog and clearer 2025 profit growth make plans more reliable

How it played out

PRIM: target was not reached by Jan. 25

Lyra published PRIM at $144.89 on Oct. 27, 2025, with a 3 month view and expected growth of 22%. The thesis pointed to utility, energy, renewables, and data center work, a $1.7B data center project lineup, a Buy rating, recent buyer interest, backlog, and expected profit growth into 2025.

Inside the window, PRIM rose but stayed below the $176.65 target. The highest price was $155.19 on Jan. 16, 2026, a 7.1% peak gain. By Jan. 25, 2026, it ended at $150.56. The thesis partially played out on direction, but it missed the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All PRIM signals