Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG) — closed signal from October 26, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$260.34 Published $307.00 Target $328.43 Window close $341.17 Peak
$257.66 – $261.66Entry zone — fair-value band
$260.34Published — price the day we called it
$307.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$341.17Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$328.43Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 29 days.

Peak price
$341.17
peak on January 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+31%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$328.43
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
29
Window
October 26, 2025 – January 24, 2026

The thesis — published October 26, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$307.00
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$257.66 – $261.66
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$260.34
published October 26, 2025
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet's stock looks steady ahead of its earnings report, with lots more people buying than usual and a moderately positive market tone. News centers on big tech results and Anthropic's fast enterprise AI sales growth, pointing to real money-making potential. Buying near this price range lets you join early while we wait to see how AI spending affects profits. A strong report could lift shares, but post-report swings require discipline.

Primary drivers

  • Buying interest is improving, and the overall tone for big tech is firm.
  • Upcoming earnings can show whether AI projects are turning into real profit.
  • Ads and cloud give multiple ways to make money, even if one area slows.
  • Many stocks are participating in gains, helping confidence in the trend.

How it played out

GOOG: target reached in 29 days

Lyra published GOOG at 260.34 on 2025-10-26 for a short-term window ending 2026-01-24. The thesis expected 18% growth toward 307. It pointed to improving buying interest, a firm tone for big tech, upcoming earnings, ads and cloud as multiple profit paths, and whether artificial intelligence projects were turning into real profit.

The stock reached the 307 target in 29 days. It later peaked at 341.17 on 2026-01-13, with a 31% gain. By the end of the window, GOOG was 328.43. The published thesis played out, and the move went beyond the target inside the measured window.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-29, Alphabet reported third-quarter results, including revenue of $102.3 billion and earnings per share of $2.87. On 2025-12-22, MarketWatch reported that Alphabet announced the acquisition of Intersect Power for $4.75 billion in cash plus assumed debt.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.