Track record · closed signal

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) — closed signal from October 26, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 24, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

HIVE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$6.03 Published $8.74 Target $3.22 Window close $6.30 Peak
$5.85 – $6.15Entry zone — fair-value band
$6.03Published — price the day we called it
$8.74Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$6.30Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$3.22Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 10% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$6.30
peak on October 27, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+4.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$3.22
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
October 26, 2025 – January 24, 2026

The thesis — published October 26, 2025

Predicted growth
+45%
over the measurement window
Target price
$8.74
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$5.85 – $6.15
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$6.03
published October 26, 2025
Confidence
93%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

HIVE is a high-risk, high-reward idea that looks beaten down but may be turning up. There are signs more buyers are stepping in than usual. Fresh news helps: B. Riley lifted its target to $8, and a 100 MW hydropower build in Paraguay is confirmed, aiming for 35 EH/s. With miners back in focus and markets open to risk, a 0-3 month rebound is possible as AI computing revenue grows, though Bitcoin swings and execution still matter.

Primary drivers

  • 100 MW clean-power build in Paraguay aiming for 35 EH/s capacity
  • Shift into AI computing adds revenue not tied to crypto prices
  • Shares look beaten down while interest from buyers is strong
  • B. Riley raised its target to $8, backing near-term upside

How it played out

HIVE: the thesis did not reach its target

Lyra published HIVE at $6.03 on 2025-10-26 as a short-term rebound idea. The thesis expected 45% growth. It pointed to the 100 MW clean-power build in Paraguay aiming for 35 EH/s capacity, artificial intelligence computing revenue, stronger buyer interest, and B. Riley lifting its target to $8.

Inside the window, HIVE peaked at $6.30 on 2025-10-27, with a 4.5% gain. That stayed below the $8.74 target. It never got there. By 2026-01-24, the stock ended at $3.22. The published thesis missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.