HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) — closed signal from October 25, 2025
Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 23, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached 10% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
The thesis — published October 25, 2025
HIVE looks like it could bounce after a sharp drop, with lots more people buying than usual. The company confirmed a 100 MW hydro project in Paraguay that aims for 35 EH/s by 2026, which should lower costs and could also power AI computing. Start with a small position near this zone and add only if strength continues. Because it is tied to crypto, swings can be big, but the odds lean toward a recovery over the next few months.
Primary drivers
- Building a 100 MW hydro site in Paraguay, aiming for 35 EH/s by 2026
- Shares fell hard and now show buyers stepping in with heavier trading
- Market mood is improving, which often lifts riskier names like this
- New data centers could serve AI work too, not just Bitcoin mining
How it played out
HIVE: the target was not reached
Lyra published HIVE at $6.03 on October 25, 2025, with expected growth of 45% over the short-term window. The thesis pointed to a possible bounce after a sharp drop, heavier buying, a 100 MW hydro site in Paraguay aiming for 35 EH/s by 2026, improving market mood, and new data centers that could also serve artificial intelligence work.
Inside the window, HIVE peaked at $6.30 on October 27, 2025, with a 4.5% gain. It stayed below the $8.74 target. By January 23, 2026, it ended at $3.22. The thesis missed.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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