Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG) — closed signal from October 25, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 23, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$260.34 Published $307.00 Target $328.43 Window close $341.17 Peak
$255.67 – $261.66Entry zone — fair-value band
$260.34Published — price the day we called it
$307.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$341.17Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$328.43Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 30 days.

Peak price
$341.17
peak on January 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+31%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$328.43
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
30
Window
October 25, 2025 – January 23, 2026

The thesis — published October 25, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$307.00
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$255.67 – $261.66
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$260.34
published October 25, 2025
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet's setup looks positive: the price trend is up, the recent average price points higher, and lots more people are buying than usual, often a sign big investors are interested. UBS notes cloud spending looks steady and healthy. Anthropic plans to use a very large number of Google chips, likely lifting Google Cloud demand. If the market stays friendly, consider buying near $256-$262 and add after a close above recent highs to keep risk in check.

Primary drivers

  • Price is trending upward, and the recent average price agrees
  • UBS reports company cloud budgets look steady and healthy overall
  • Anthropic plans huge use of Google chips, lifting Google Cloud demand
  • More buying than usual points to strong interest from large investors

How it played out

GOOG: target reached in 30 days

Lyra published GOOG at $260.34 on 2025-10-25 with an 18% expected gain. The thesis pointed to an upward price trend, a recent average price moving higher, heavier buying than usual, steady cloud spending noted by UBS, and Anthropic's planned use of Google chips as a possible lift for Google Cloud demand.

Inside the window, GOOG reached the $307 target in 30 days. The peak was $341.17 on 2026-01-13, a 31% gain. It ended the window at $328.43. The thesis played out, and the price stayed above the target at the close.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-29, Alphabet reported third-quarter revenue of $102.35 billion, its first quarter above $100 billion. Google Cloud revenue was $15.16 billion. On 2026-01-12, Apple announced that Google's Gemini models and cloud technology would support future Apple Intelligence features, including a more personalized Siri.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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