Track record · closed signal

Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) — closed signal from October 24, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 22, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PRIM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$141.51 Published $166.87 Target $150.56 Window close $155.19 Peak
$139.82 – $141.82Entry zone — fair-value band
$141.51Published — price the day we called it
$166.87Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$155.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$150.56Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 54% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$155.19
peak on January 16, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+9.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$150.56
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
October 24, 2025 – January 22, 2026

The thesis — published October 24, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$166.87
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$139.82 – $141.82
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$141.51
published October 24, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Primoris looks out of favor but may be ready to turn up. The company has $11.49B in signed work, which can keep crews busy and revenue coming in. An outside stock-picking model recently rated it 85%, adding confidence as renewables and infrastructure spending stay strong. Short-term trade idea aims for a bounce. Watch for tariff headlines and project hiccups, which can make shares swing.

Primary drivers

  • An $11.49B pipeline of signed work supports future revenue
  • Independent stock screen raised its rating, hinting at improving trends
  • Shares look beaten down, which can set up a rebound if news improves
  • Government support for renewables could drive more projects and sales

How it played out

PRIM: partial rebound missed the target

Lyra published PRIM on 2025-10-24 at 141.51 as a short-term rebound idea with expected growth of 18%. The thesis pointed to $11.49B in signed work, an outside stock screen that had raised its rating, beaten-down shares, and government support for renewables.

Inside the window, PRIM rose but did not reach 166.87. It peaked at 155.19 on 2026-01-16, with a peak gain of 9.7%. It ended the window at 150.56. The thesis partially played out. The stock moved in the expected direction, but it never got to the target.

What happened during the window

On 2026-01-12, Investors.com reported that Primoris had been named its Stock Of The Day and said the stock closed at 134.24. On 2026-01-13, Investors.com reported that a Guggenheim analyst upgraded Primoris to buy and set a 160 price target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.