RTX Corporation (RTX) — closed signal from October 22, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 20, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 83 days.
The thesis — published October 22, 2025
RTX looks like a short-term trade based on price strength, but with warnings. Many more buyers than usual and upbeat mood match recent talk of profits improving (net profit margin 7.7% vs 6% last year). The company's long-run numbers are still soft, so the run might not last. Over the next 0-3 months, consider riding the strength with clear exit points; news on defense programs and budgets could quickly move the stock.
Primary drivers
- Many more buyers than usual and heavy trading activity support the uptrend
- Recent updates point to profit margins improving compared with last year
- Rising government defense budgets likely support steady orders and revenue
- Past results are weaker, which could limit how long this strength continues
How it played out
RTX: target reached in 83 days
Lyra published RTX at $175.95 on 2025-10-22 as a short-term trade with 12% expected growth. The thesis pointed to unusually strong buying and heavy trading, improving profit margins of 7.7% versus 6% last year, rising defense budgets, and weaker past results that could limit the move.
Inside the window, the stock reached the $196.29 target in 83 days. It peaked at $203.03 on 2026-01-20, a 15.4% gain. It ended at $196.36, still above the target. The thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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