Track record · closed signal

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) — closed signal from October 22, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 20, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

SVM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$6.36 Published $8.13 Target $12.24 Window close $12.42 Peak
$6.18 – $6.48Entry zone — fair-value band
$6.36Published — price the day we called it
$8.13Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$12.42Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$12.24Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 44 days.

Peak price
$12.42
peak on January 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+95.3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$12.24
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
44
Window
October 22, 2025 – January 20, 2026

The thesis — published October 22, 2025

Predicted growth
+28%
over the measurement window
Target price
$8.13
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$6.18 – $6.48
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$6.36
published October 22, 2025
Confidence
62%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Silvercorp's price has dropped a lot, which can set up a bounce if interest returns. A well-known stock model just raised its view, which can improve how investors see the company. In the next 0-3 months, watch for the price to stop falling and make slightly higher dips, with signs that buying is picking up. Main risks: big swings in silver prices and the company's exposure to China.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks beaten down, and value buyers may step in to spark a rebound.
  • A recent upgrade from a respected stock model could draw fresh attention.
  • Investor interest appears high, with steady buying showing up recently.
  • Silver price swings and China exposure can quickly move the share price.

How it played out

SVM: target reached in 44 days

Lyra published SVM at $6.36 on 2025-10-22, with 28% expected growth and a $8.13 target by 2026-01-20. The thesis pointed to a beaten-down price, possible value-buyer interest, a recent stock-model upgrade, and signs of steady buying. It also named silver price swings and China exposure as risks.

Inside the window, SVM reached the target in 44 days. The stock kept rising to a $12.42 peak on 2026-01-20, with a 95.3% peak gain. It ended at $12.24. The published thesis played out, and the move went well past the target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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