RTX Corporation (RTX) — closed signal from October 21, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 19, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 87 days.
The thesis — published October 21, 2025
RTX looks like it fell too far and is starting to recover, with lots more people buying than usual. Management raised 2025 profit and sales targets, which pushed the stock up and suggests demand is holding up. Even though recent results look softer, buying near this range with a clear exit if it drops below a recent low could work over the next 0-3 months as the price steadies and enthusiasm improves.
Primary drivers
- Leaders now expect higher 2025 profits and sales than they did before
- Shares look washed out and appear to be turning upward after a weak spell
- Investor mood is upbeat, with far more trading than usual lately
- Stock jumped after the company lifted its guidance during the last update
How it played out
RTX: target reached in 87 days
Lyra published RTX at 174.19 on 2025-10-21 with 15% expected growth and a 199.53 target. The thesis pointed to higher 2025 profit and sales targets, a washed-out share price that seemed to be turning upward, unusually heavy buying, and a stock jump after the company lifted guidance.
Inside the window, RTX reached a 202.17 peak on 2026-01-16, above the 199.53 target. The peak gain was 16.1%, and the target was reached in 87 days. It ended the window at 201.92. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On October 21, 2025, Barron's reported that RTX posted adjusted earnings per share of 1.70 and sales of 22.5 billion, and that the company raised its full-year earnings guidance.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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