Track record · closed signal

RTX Corporation (RTX) — closed signal from October 20, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 18, 2026 — +26.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RTX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$155.77 – $160.73Entry zone — fair-value band

$159.67Published — price the day we called it

$178.13Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$202.17Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$201.92Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 3 days.

At window close

+26.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+26.6%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+3.3%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$201.92

last close inside the window, ended January 18, 2026

Peak price

$202.17

peak on January 16, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published October 20, 2025

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$178.13

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$155.77 – $160.73

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$159.67

published October 20, 2025

Confidence

63%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

RTX looks out of favor right now, but a new Pratt & Whitney engine just won approval in Europe, which should lift its commercial airplane business. At the same time, its defense work has a healthy pipeline of orders. Because price trends are still soft, treat this as a slow rebuild: consider buying on dips and giving it 1-3 months for a rebound as headlines improve and more buyers return. The setup is more about patience than speed.

Primary drivers

EU approval for Pratt & Whitney's GTF Advantage engine supports sales
Large, steady defense orders provide clearer revenue over the next years
Stock has been weak; gradual rebuilding phase could set up a measured rebound
Global air travel is improving, lifting demand for parts and maintenance

How it played out

RTX: target reached in 3 days

Lyra published RTX at 159.67 on 2025-10-20 with a short-term rebound thesis. The expected growth was 12%, with a target of 178.13. The thesis pointed to European approval for Pratt & Whitney's GTF Advantage engine, steady defense orders, a weak stock in a gradual rebuilding phase, and better global air travel demand for parts and maintenance.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 3 days. It later peaked at 202.17 on 2026-01-16, with a peak gain of 26.6%. It ended at 201.92 on 2026-01-18. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-21, RTX reported third-quarter earnings of $1.70 per share and sales of $22.5 billion. Barron's reported that the stock rose to $173.04 that day. On 2025-10-22, Investor's Business Daily reported that RTX had raised its full-year sales and profit estimates.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All RTX signals