Track record · closed signal

IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from October 20, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 18, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.65 Published $16.93 Target $17.17 Window close $18.25 Peak
$13.40 – $13.90Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.65Published — price the day we called it
$16.93Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$18.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$17.17Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 60 days.

Peak price
$18.25
peak on January 13, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+33.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$17.17
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
60
Window
October 20, 2025 – January 18, 2026

The thesis — published October 20, 2025

Predicted growth
+24%
over the measurement window
Target price
$16.93
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$13.40 – $13.90
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.65
published October 20, 2025
Confidence
74%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

IAMGOLD is growing and may be near a short-term turning point. Two deals in Quebec give it more gold in the pipeline and more choices for future mining. Very weak readings and heavier trading suggest the slide may be ending. Investor mood stays fairly positive, helped by steady gold prices. If it handles the new assets well, the stock could bounce in 1-3 months after pullbacks toward the recent average price.

Primary drivers

  • Quebec deals add gold resources and give more options for future mining.
  • Clear signs the drop may be ending, with heavier trading than usual.
  • Gold prices are stable to strong, which usually helps gold miners.
  • Recent strength versus peers that can draw more investor interest.

How it played out

IAG: target reached in 60 days

Lyra published IAG at 13.65 on October 20, 2025, with a short-term thesis for 24% growth. The thesis pointed to Quebec deals that added gold resources, signs that the drop may have been ending, stable to strong gold prices, and recent strength versus peers. The entry zone was 13.40 to 13.90.

Inside the window, IAG reached the 16.93 target in 60 days. The stock later peaked at 18.25 on January 13, 2026, with a 33.7% gain. It ended the window at 17.17, still above the target. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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