Track record · closed signal

Royal Bank of Canada (RY) — closed signal from October 18, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 16, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

RY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$144.70 Published $159.41 Target $169.18 Window close $174.61 Peak
$140.87 – $144.81Entry zone — fair-value band
$144.70Published — price the day we called it
$159.41Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$174.61Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$169.18Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 47 days.

Peak price
$174.61
peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+20.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$169.18
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
47
Window
October 18, 2025 – January 16, 2026

The thesis — published October 18, 2025

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$159.41
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$140.87 – $144.81
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$144.70
published October 18, 2025
Confidence
73%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Royal Bank of Canada looks attractive after a recent pullback, and investor mood is very positive. It won J.D. Power customer satisfaction for a second year, reinforcing loyalty and pricing power. A possible purchase of Evelyn Partners could open new revenue streams. Shares have beaten the sector by 20.7% this year, and if credit costs stay calm as investors warm to banks, a return toward recent highs in the next three months is realistic.

Primary drivers

  • Strong investor optimism combined with a trusted, well-known bank brand
  • Possible purchase of Evelyn Partners could broaden services and clients
  • Has outperformed the finance sector so far this year, showing strength
  • Recent pullback leaves price appealing for long-term investors to start

How it played out

RY: target reached in 47 days

Lyra published RY at 144.70 on 2025-10-18, with expected growth of 11% and a target of 159.41. The thesis pointed to strong investor optimism, a trusted bank brand, a possible purchase of Evelyn Partners, sector outperformance of 20.7% this year, and a recent pullback that made the price look appealing.

Inside the window from 2025-10-18 to 2026-01-16, the stock reached the target in 47 days. It later peaked at 174.61 on 2026-01-06, with a 20.7% gain. It ended at 169.18. The published thesis played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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