Track record · closed signal

IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from October 15, 2025

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 13, 2026 — +23.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$13.90 – $14.25Entry zone — fair-value band

$14.10Published — price the day we called it

$18.61Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$18.25Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$17.42Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 92% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close

+23.5%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+29.4%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+4.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$17.42

last close inside the window, ended January 13, 2026

Peak price

$18.25

peak on January 13, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published October 15, 2025

Predicted growth

+32%

over the measurement window

Target price

$18.61

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$13.90 – $14.25

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$14.10

published October 15, 2025

Confidence

90%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

IAMGOLD looks set for a move soon, over the next 0-3 months. Investor mood is strong, and the recent average price is rising though one momentum signal is softer. Trading has picked up, suggesting lots more people are buying than usual near recent lows. Raymond James lifted its target to $13 on higher gold forecasts, fitting steady gold prices and more money going into gold stocks. Drops in gold remain a risk.

Primary drivers

Higher gold price forecasts draw more money into gold miners this year
Optimistic mood across investors and a rising recent average price trend
A leading analyst raised the target to $13 this week, boosting confidence
Chance for an upward move if heavy trading shows real investor interest

How it played out

IAG: target was not reached by the window close

Lyra published IAG at $14.10 on 2025-10-15 with a short-term thesis for 32% growth. The thesis pointed to stronger investor mood, a rising recent average price trend, heavier trading near recent lows, higher gold price forecasts drawing money into gold miners, and a Raymond James target lift to $13. It also noted that drops in gold remained a risk.

Inside the window, IAG rose but did not reach the $18.61 target. The peak was $18.25 on 2026-01-13, with a 29.4% gain. It ended at $17.42. The thesis mostly played out on direction, but it missed the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All IAG signals