Royal Bank of Canada (RY) — closed signal from October 14, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 12, 2026.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 45 days.
The thesis — published October 14, 2025
Royal Bank of Canada is a steady, big bank that can add income now and potential growth. A key date is Oct 27, when new buyers no longer get the next dividend, which often helps the price hold into year-end. The bank is spending to grow, including its RBC Generate farm program. Shares look beaten down but investor mood is still solid. We prefer buying near recent price lows while watching the economy and loan health.
Primary drivers
- Oct 27 dividend date may help price hold up into year-end
- RBC Generate program invests in farming to drive future growth
- Shares look knocked down, yet investor confidence remains steady
- Large, proven bank with a long record of steady operations
How it played out
RY: target reached in 45 days
Lyra published RY at 142.70 on 2025-10-14 with an 8% expected gain and a 152.97 target. The thesis pointed to the Oct 27 dividend date, RBC Generate, steady investor confidence after a knocked-down share price, and Royal Bank of Canada's record as a large, proven bank.
Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 45 days. It later peaked at 174.61 on 2026-01-06, with a 22.4% peak gain. By 2026-01-12, it ended at 169.65. The published thesis played out, strictly on the measured price path.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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