Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from October 13, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 11, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$8.90 – $9.30Entry zone — fair-value band

$9.47Published — price the day we called it

$12.12Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$11.35Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$9.72Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 71% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$11.35

peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+19.9%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$9.72

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

October 13, 2025 – January 11, 2026

The thesis — published October 13, 2025

Predicted growth

+28%

over the measurement window

Target price

$12.12

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$8.90 – $9.30

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$9.47

published October 13, 2025

Confidence

67%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

A go-against-the-crowd idea: the stock looks inexpensive and investor mood is favorable, even though chart trends are weak. An Oct 8 note showed its price-to-earnings below JPM, pointing to value. Some signs say the price is tired and the recent average price is drifting down. If risk appetite holds and trading stays active, a 3 month bounce is possible, so buying in pieces makes sense.

Primary drivers

Looks cheaper than big-bank peers based on basic valuation today.
Price looks beaten down while investor mood remains positive right now.
Expanding its trading app and services to more countries over time.
Rules could change, and thin trading could make moves sharper at times.

How it played out

TIGR: thesis partially played out but missed target

Lyra published TIGR at 9.47 on 2025-10-13 with a short-term thesis for 28% growth. The thesis pointed to a cheaper valuation than big-bank peers, positive investor mood despite weak chart trends, wider app and services reach, and the chance that rule changes or thin trading could sharpen moves.

Inside the window, TIGR rose to 11.35 on 2026-01-06, a 19.9% peak gain. The target was 12.12, and the stock never reached it. It ended the window at 9.72. The thesis partially played out because the price rose, but it missed the published target.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals