Track record · closed signal

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) — closed signal from October 12, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 10, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

KO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$65.58 – $66.56Entry zone — fair-value band

$66.57Published — price the day we called it

$74.04Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$72.91Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$70.51Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 79% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price

$72.91

peak on December 1, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+9.5%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$70.51

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

October 12, 2025 – January 10, 2026

The thesis — published October 12, 2025

Predicted growth

+12%

over the measurement window

Target price

$74.04

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$65.58 – $66.56

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$66.57

published October 12, 2025

Confidence

68%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

KO looks steady and could keep climbing, helped by more buying than usual. But the price seems a bit hot, so adding on small dips is safer than chasing strength. Coca-Cola's long record of reliable, growing dividends attracts income-focused investors, and recent attention on dividend ideas should help demand. We see a gentle rise over the next 0-3 months while staying mindful of interest rates and valuation.

Primary drivers

Buying activity is higher than usual and has been nudging the price upward
Long record of rising dividends, highlighted recently, is drawing attention
Income-focused investors favor KO when markets are choppy and uncertain
Interest rates and a rich price tag versus earnings can sway investor demand

How it played out

KO: thesis partly played out, target not reached

Lyra published KO at 66.57 on 2025-10-12 with 12% expected growth and a target of 74.04. The thesis pointed to higher than usual buying activity, KO's long record of rising dividends, demand from income-focused investors, and sensitivity to interest rates and valuation.

Inside the window, KO rose to a peak of 72.91 on 2025-12-01, with a 9.5% peak gain. It stayed below the 74.04 target and ended at 70.51 on 2026-01-10. The call partly played out. The rise was real, but it never got there.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-21, Coca-Cola reported third-quarter results. Barron's reported adjusted earnings of $0.82 a share and revenue of $12.5 billion. On 2025-12-11, Business Insider reported that Coca-Cola named Henrique Braun as its next CEO, effective 2026-03-31.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All KO signals