Track record · closed signal

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) — closed signal from October 10, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 8, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

HIVE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$7.62 Published $11.04 Target $3.15 Window close $7.84 Peak
$7.00 – $7.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$7.62Published — price the day we called it
$11.04Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$7.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$3.15Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 7% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$7.84
peak on October 10, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+3%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$3.15
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
October 10, 2025 – January 8, 2026

The thesis — published October 10, 2025

Predicted growth
+45%
over the measurement window
Target price
$11.04
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$7.00 – $7.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$7.62
published October 10, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

HIVE blends crypto mining with building computing power for AI. Reports from 10-06 to 10-07 showed Bitcoin at record highs and HIVE mined 267 BTC in September. The Paraguay site is scaling toward 100MW and over 21 EH/s. The price looks hot, so waiting for normal pullbacks toward the recent average price can help. Over the next 3 months, results likely follow Bitcoin and AI progress, with rules and power costs as key risks.

Primary drivers

  • Bitcoin strength tends to lift HIVE sales because mined coins are worth more
  • Uptrend with firm recent average price and strong buying interest in the shares
  • Paraguay build-out toward 100MW adds capacity and can lower cost per coin
  • Building AI and high-power computing services to earn beyond crypto cycles

How it played out

HIVE: the target was never reached

Lyra published HIVE at $7.62 on 2025-10-10 with a short-term thesis for 45% expected growth. The thesis pointed to Bitcoin strength, firm recent buying interest in the shares, the Paraguay build-out toward 100MW and over 21 EH/s, and new computing services beyond crypto cycles. It also cited rules and power costs as key risks.

Inside the window, HIVE peaked at $7.84 on 2025-10-10, a 3% gain. The target was $11.04. It never got there. By 2026-01-08, the stock ended at $3.15. The published thesis missed on price within the measured window.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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