Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from July 10, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 8, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$143.13 Published $183.21 Target $183.56 Window close $190.00 Peak
$135.00 – $145.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$143.13Published — price the day we called it
$183.21Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$190.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$183.56Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

Peak price
$190.00
peak on August 12, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$183.56
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
28
Window
July 10, 2025 – October 8, 2025

The thesis — published July 10, 2025

Predicted growth
+28%
over the measurement window
Target price
$183.21
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$135.00 – $145.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$143.13
published July 10, 2025
Confidence
82%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir remains a leading AI story. A major bank now thinks the shares can reach $160, and a new deal with Accenture to serve U.S. agencies should boost future sales. After a strong spring rally, the price is sitting calmly above $135, showing strength instead of sliding. Talk of joining the S&P 500 could pull in more big investors, so a 25-30% gain in the next three months feels within reach.

Primary drivers

  • Top broker raises goal to $160, backing belief in Palantir’s AI value
  • Accenture deal grows federal work; order book up 44% versus last year
  • Price edges higher on steady trading even while momentum looks soft
  • Possible S&P 500 invite may draw large index funds later this summer

How it played out

PLTR: target reached in 28 days

Lyra published PLTR at $143.13 on 2025-07-10, with a short-term window ending 2025-10-08. The thesis expected 28% growth and a move toward $183.21. It pointed to artificial intelligence demand, a broker goal of $160, an Accenture federal deal, a 44% order book increase versus last year, steady trading above $135, and possible S&P 500 inclusion.

Inside the window, PLTR reached the target in 28 days. The stock peaked at $190 on 2025-08-12, with a 32.7% peak gain. It ended the window at $183.56, still above the target. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-07-31, The Washington Post reported that Palantir received a U.S. Army contract valued at $10 billion over 10 years. In August 2025, Investopedia reported that Palantir's second-quarter revenue reached $1 billion and that the company raised its outlook.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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