Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from July 10, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 8, 2025 — +28.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$135.00 – $145.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$143.13Published — price the day we called it

$183.21Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$190.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$183.56Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

At window close

+28.2%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+32.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+7.9%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$183.56

last close inside the window, ended October 8, 2025

Peak price

$190.00

peak on August 12, 2025 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published July 10, 2025

Predicted growth

+28%

over the measurement window

Target price

$183.21

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$135.00 – $145.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$143.13

published July 10, 2025

Confidence

82%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir remains a leading AI story. A major bank now thinks the shares can reach $160, and a new deal with Accenture to serve U.S. agencies should boost future sales. After a strong spring rally, the price is sitting calmly above $135, showing strength instead of sliding. Talk of joining the S&P 500 could pull in more big investors, so a 25-30% gain in the next three months feels within reach.

Primary drivers

Top broker raises goal to $160, backing belief in Palantir’s AI value
Accenture deal grows federal work; order book up 44% versus last year
Price edges higher on steady trading even while momentum looks soft
Possible S&P 500 invite may draw large index funds later this summer

How it played out

PLTR: target reached in 28 days

Lyra published PLTR at $143.13 on 2025-07-10, with a short-term window ending 2025-10-08. The thesis expected 28% growth and a move toward $183.21. It pointed to artificial intelligence demand, a broker goal of $160, an Accenture federal deal, a 44% order book increase versus last year, steady trading above $135, and possible S&P 500 inclusion.

Inside the window, PLTR reached the target in 28 days. The stock peaked at $190 on 2025-08-12, with a 32.7% peak gain. It ended the window at $183.56, still above the target. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-07-31, The Washington Post reported that Palantir received a U.S. Army contract valued at $10 billion over 10 years. In August 2025, Investopedia reported that Palantir's second-quarter revenue reached $1 billion and that the company raised its outlook.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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