Track record · closed signal

Linde plc (LIN) — closed signal from October 9, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

LIN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$465.94 Published $519.94 Target $434.14 Window close $468.28 Peak
$459.61 – $466.56Entry zone — fair-value band
$465.94Published — price the day we called it
$519.94Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$468.28Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$434.14Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 4% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$468.28
peak on October 9, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+0.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$434.14
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
October 9, 2025 – January 7, 2026

The thesis — published October 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$519.94
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$459.61 – $466.56
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$465.94
published October 9, 2025
Confidence
60%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Linde sells essential industrial gases and is widely seen as a strong, reliable business. The share price looks temporarily pushed down, while investor mood remains positive. A 2025-10-02 review highlighted that it delivered 109% total return over five years. A 0-3 month bounce is possible as buyers return to quality. Add more only after the price clearly turns upward, since investors may decide to pay less for each dollar of profit.

Primary drivers

  • Share price looks beaten down, but the business is top quality
  • Returned 109% over five years, showing steady wealth creation for owners
  • Reliable cash coming in even during slowdowns helps fund growth and stability
  • Price looks fair only if growth holds; wait for proof before paying up

How it played out

LIN: the 12% target was not reached

Lyra published LIN on 2025-10-09 at $465.94 with a short-term thesis for 12% growth. The target was $519.94. The thesis pointed to an essential industrial gases business, a share price that looked beaten down, positive investor mood, 109% total return over five years, reliable cash coming in during slowdowns, and the need to wait for proof before paying up.

Inside the window, LIN peaked at $468.28 on 2025-10-09, a 0.5% gain. It stayed below the target and never reached $519.94. By 2026-01-07, it ended at $434.14. The published bounce thesis missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All LIN signals