Track record · closed signal

DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT) — closed signal from October 9, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 7, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

DHT price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$11.57 Published $14.16 Target $13.11 Window close $13.85 Peak
$11.19 – $11.53Entry zone — fair-value band
$11.57Published — price the day we called it
$14.16Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$13.85Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$13.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$13.85
peak on November 13, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+19.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$13.11
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
October 9, 2025 – January 7, 2026

The thesis — published October 9, 2025

Predicted growth
+24%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.16
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$11.19 – $11.53
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$11.57
published October 9, 2025
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

DHT looks like a shipping stock that fell too far and could snap back. Analysts see very weak price readings and very upbeat mood, but the trend signal is still negative, so start small. News shows mixed buying and a focus on dividends, and the stock is up 14% in three months. Winter often helps big oil tankers, so a 0-3 month rebound is possible, though oil volatility and softer shipping rates could slow it.

Primary drivers

  • Price dropped hard by common measures, raising odds of a short-term bounce
  • Market mood toward the stock is extremely positive by popular gauges
  • Winter months often boost demand for very large crude carriers (VLCCs)
  • Buying and selling by big investors looks mixed, not clearly one-sided

How it played out

DHT: target missed after 19.7% peak gain

Lyra published DHT on 2025-10-09 at 11.57 with expected growth of 24%. The thesis pointed to a stock that had fallen hard by common measures and could bounce. It also pointed to very positive market mood, winter demand for very large crude carriers, mixed big-investor activity, dividends, oil volatility, and softer shipping rates as risks.

Inside the window, DHT rose to 13.85 on 2025-11-13. That was a 19.7% peak gain, but it stayed below the 14.16 target. It never got there. By 2026-01-07, it ended at 13.11. The thesis partially played out, but the published target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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