Track record · closed signal

GE Aerospace (General Electric Company) (GE) — closed signal from October 8, 2025

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 6, 2026 — +8.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$302.19 Published $338.07 Target $327.54 Window close $332.79 Peak
$296.32 – $304.30Entry zone — fair-value band
$302.19Published — price the day we called it
$338.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$332.79Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$327.54Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 84% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close
+8.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+10.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.1%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$327.54
last close inside the window, ended January 6, 2026
Peak price
$332.79
peak on January 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target

The thesis — published October 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$338.07
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$296.32 – $304.30
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$302.19
published October 8, 2025
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE's share price has fallen hard, yet the overall price trend looks steady and investor mood is positive. A recent upbeat analyst view on GE Vernova could draw new interest, while steady cash from jet engine service work supports the story. There are industry ups and downs to consider and some weak price signals, but a rebound over the next 0-3 months looks reasonable. Add gradually on dips.

Primary drivers

  • Shares have pulled back hard, while the recent average price stays steady
  • Upgrade on GE Vernova gives a fresh reason buyers may pay more attention
  • Jet engine service work brings steady cash, supporting dependable earnings
  • Positive investor mood could help shares recover over the coming weeks

How it played out

GE: thesis rose but target was not reached

Lyra published GE at $302.19 on 2025-10-08 with expected growth of 12%. The thesis pointed to a hard pullback, a steady recent average price, an upbeat analyst view on GE Vernova, steady cash from jet engine service work, and positive investor mood. It expected a rebound over the next 0-3 months.

Inside the window, GE rose to a peak of $332.79 on 2026-01-06, with a peak gain of 10.1%. The target was $338.07. It never got there. The stock ended at $327.54. The thesis partially played out, because the price rose strongly but stayed below the published target.

What happened during the window

On Oct. 21, 2025, MarketWatch reported that GE Aerospace raised its 2025 outlook after reporting quarterly profit and revenue above analyst estimates.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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