Amphenol Corporation (APH) — closed signal from October 8, 2025
Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 6, 2026 — +13.7% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Came within reach: 99% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.
The thesis — published October 8, 2025
Amphenol looks like a strong company that pulled back and may bounce. The recent average price trend is steady, and many buyers appear optimistic. A preview suggests earnings per share could rise 58% compared to last year, which is a meaningful near-term event. Because Amphenol sells into many industries and has backing from large investors, buying small dips could target a move toward recent highs over the next 0-3 months.
Primary drivers
- Recent pullback with a steady price trend
- Q3 earnings per share expected up 58% versus last year
- Positive mood and interest from large, long-term investors
- Sells into many industries, limiting dependence on one area
How it played out
APH: peak cleared target, 16% move fell just short
Lyra published APH at $124.30 on 2025-10-08 with a short-term thesis for 16% growth toward $143.91. The thesis pointed to a recent pullback with a steady price trend, Q3 earnings per share expected up 58% versus last year, positive mood from large, long-term investors, and sales across many industries.
Inside the window, APH peaked at $144.09 on 2025-11-10. That cleared the $143.91 price target, but the recorded peak gain was 15.9%, just short of the 16% growth Lyra published. It ended at $141.38 on 2026-01-06. The thesis mostly played out, but not perfectly by the stated percentage.
What happened during the window
On October 22, 2025, Amphenol reported third-quarter results with earnings per share of $0.93 and revenue of $6.2 billion. The same report said the company raised its quarterly dividend by 52% to 25 cents per share.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.