Track record · closed signal

Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) — closed signal from October 8, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 6, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PRIM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$137.16 Published $159.00 Target $128.93 Window close $146.07 Peak
$133.83 – $138.32Entry zone — fair-value band
$137.16Published — price the day we called it
$159.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$146.07Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$128.93Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 41% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$146.07
peak on October 29, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+6.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$128.93
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
October 8, 2025 – January 6, 2026

The thesis — published October 8, 2025

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$159.00
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$133.83 – $138.32
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$137.16
published October 8, 2025
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The stock looks beaten down and may bounce soon. Buying interest is picking up, and the recent average price still points upward. This week the company named a new CEO and was highlighted as a fast grower, which builds confidence in its work pipeline. Demand for utility and energy projects should help even though the industry can be bumpy. Buying near the suggested range looks aimed at a 0-3 month recovery.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks washed out; buying momentum appears stronger than usual
  • New CEO can focus strategy and spark fresh interest in the stock
  • Named a fast grower; strong project pipeline supports future revenue
  • Ongoing need for utility and energy work supports steady project flow

How it played out

PRIM: the target was not reached

Lyra published PRIM at 137.16 on 2025-10-08 with a 0-3 month recovery setup and 16% expected growth. The thesis pointed to a washed-out price, stronger buying momentum, a new CEO, fast-grower recognition, a strong project pipeline, and ongoing demand for utility and energy work.

Inside the window, PRIM peaked at 146.07 on 2025-10-29, a 6.5% gain. The target was 159, and the stock never reached it. By 2026-01-06, it ended at 128.93. The thesis partly played out because the stock rose early, but it missed the target and finished below the publication price.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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