Royal Bank of Canada (RY) — closed signal from October 7, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 5, 2026 — +18.7% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 58 days.
The thesis — published October 7, 2025
Royal Bank of Canada looks temporarily knocked down, but sentiment remains positive. A major bank lifted its target to C$203 after strong Q2 results, which helps confidence. With a reliable dividend and several steady businesses, the price could edge toward fair value. Start near 144-147 and add over 149, while watching interest rates in the next 3 months.
Primary drivers
- Price looks beaten down, increasing chances of a near-term recovery move.
- BMO raised its target to C$203 after strong quarterly results, boosting trust.
- Attractive dividend and strong mix of businesses help support the share price.
- Overall market tone is favorable, which can help steady, gradual gains.
How it played out
RY: target reached in 58 days
Lyra published RY on 2025-10-07 at 145.86 with a short-term view for 10% growth. The thesis said the stock looked temporarily knocked down and could move back toward fair value. It pointed to BMO lifting its target to C$203 after strong Q2 results, a reliable dividend, a steady mix of businesses, and a favorable market tone.
Inside the window from 2025-10-07 to 2026-01-05, RY reached the 159.24 target in 58 days. It kept rising to a 173.20 peak on 2026-01-05, with a 18.7% peak gain. It ended at 173.11. The thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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