Track record · closed signal

UiPath Inc. (PATH) — closed signal from October 7, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on January 5, 2026.

Predicted vs. what happened

PATH price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$13.80 – $14.70Entry zone — fair-value band

$15.05Published — price the day we called it

$20.47Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$19.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$16.03Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price

$19.84

peak on December 8, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+31.8%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$16.03

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

—

Window

October 7, 2025 – January 5, 2026

The thesis — published October 7, 2025

Predicted growth

+36%

over the measurement window

Target price

$20.47

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$13.80 – $14.70

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$15.05

published October 7, 2025

Confidence

70%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Interest in the stock is picking up, with lots more people buying than usual. A new partnership with Nvidia will weave AI into UiPath's tools, matching what customers want right now. Price swings are bigger than normal, so buying on dips and waiting for a firm move above 15.5 can help manage risk. If the overall market stays friendly, steady demand could lift shares toward earlier ranges over the next 3 months.

Primary drivers

Price is improving, with more buyers than usual stepping in recently
New work with Nvidia adds AI features that can make the product more useful
The recent average price points upward, supporting a sturdier positive view
Software stocks are in favor, which can lift peers like UiPath when markets rise

How it played out

PATH: target was not reached inside the window

Lyra published PATH at 15.05 on 2025-10-07 with expected growth of 36%. The thesis pointed to stronger buying interest, new work with Nvidia adding artificial intelligence features, a recent average price that pointed upward, and software stocks being in favor. It also framed bigger price swings as part of the setup.

Inside the window, PATH rose to 19.84 on 2025-12-08, a 31.8% peak gain. That stayed below the 20.47 target. It never got there. By 2026-01-05, the stock ended at 16.03. The thesis partially played out, but the published target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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